
杰克·多爾西旗下的Block Inc.于周三納入備受矚目的標(biāo)普500指數(shù),這一極具象征意義的里程碑,讓這家涉足移動銀行、比特幣挖礦等諸多領(lǐng)域的數(shù)字金融公司成為華爾街的焦點。
對于這家助力開創(chuàng)移動支付先河的公司而言,如今真正的考驗在于將宏偉愿景轉(zhuǎn)化為驅(qū)動盈利的執(zhí)行力:將Cash App的龐大用戶群體轉(zhuǎn)化為正式的銀行客戶,擴展Square的產(chǎn)品矩陣,并在競爭激烈的比特幣挖礦領(lǐng)域展開角逐。
此次納入指數(shù)將帶來被動基金的即時資金流入,并重新吸引投資者關(guān)注。消息公布后的周一,Block股價上漲7%,緩解了這家總部位于奧克蘭的公司今年上半年的股價頹勢——因市場對其盈利前景存憂,股價跌幅達(dá)22%。周三早盤交易時段,Block股價在79美元上下浮動。分析師提醒道,納入指數(shù)并不能讓公司避開業(yè)績壓力,若要實現(xiàn)與成長型科技公司相符的股票估值,就必須拿出實實在在的業(yè)績。
“從時機角度來看,Block股票納入標(biāo)普500指數(shù)對公司而言極其有利,”Benchmark公司高級分析師馬克·帕爾默(Mark Palmer)表示,他給予該股持有評級?!安贿^,這種初步提振能否持續(xù),將取決于公司能否在執(zhí)行層面達(dá)成目標(biāo)?!?/p>
賣方市場整體情緒仍偏樂觀,但對其核心業(yè)務(wù)能否持續(xù)擴張的擔(dān)憂依然存在。擁有5700萬活躍用戶的Cash App正從點對點支付應(yīng)用轉(zhuǎn)型為全方位銀行服務(wù)平臺。隨著銀行業(yè)務(wù)拓展,Cash App直接與貝寶(PayPal Holdings Inc.)旗下的Venmo以及數(shù)字優(yōu)先型競爭對手如Chime Financial展開競爭。當(dāng)前發(fā)展重點已從用戶增長轉(zhuǎn)向通過貸款等服務(wù)從現(xiàn)有客戶群體中實現(xiàn)盈利。
Block代表拒絕置評。
Square(Block的原有業(yè)務(wù),專注于為中小型企業(yè)提供支付服務(wù))正努力向高端市場進軍,面臨來自費哲金融服務(wù)公司(Fiserv Inc.)旗下的Clover以及專注于餐飲行業(yè)的競爭對手Toast Inc.的競爭。在加密貨幣領(lǐng)域,Block正助力Square業(yè)務(wù)所服務(wù)的企業(yè)接受比特幣支付,提供名為Bitkey的自托管錢包,并憑借其比特幣挖礦產(chǎn)品及服務(wù)套件Proto,進入長期由中國比特大陸(Bitmain)主導(dǎo)的硬件市場。
“我們真正關(guān)注的是其兩大核心業(yè)務(wù)板塊的基本面狀況以及扭虧為盈的故事,而非因納入指數(shù)帶來的短期交易熱潮?!盓vercore ISI高級董事總經(jīng)理亞當(dāng)·弗里施(Adam Frisch)表示。他給予該股跑贏大盤評級,目標(biāo)價為85美元,而周二收盤價為79美元。他補充道,Cash App平均每位活躍會員產(chǎn)生的收入約為110美元,而Chime約為245美元?!斑@一差距對Cash App而言意味著巨大機遇?!?
人們再度將目光聚焦于多爾西多年前就篤定堅持的比特幣愿景——這一愿景此前在很大程度上被市場忽視,而今,或許終于迎來了遲到的認(rèn)可。Block從2020年開始購入比特幣,目前公司金庫持有8584枚比特幣,按當(dāng)前價格計算,價值超10億美元。該公司每月將比特幣產(chǎn)品毛利潤的10%用于為資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表增持更多加密貨幣——這種金庫策略在加密貨幣初創(chuàng)公司中較為常見,但在上市公司中則較為罕見。
“杰克是比特幣的終極擁護者,但他并未因早早入局而獲得相應(yīng)的乘數(shù)效應(yīng),”瑞穗證券(Mizuho Securities)高級分析師丹·多列夫(Dan Dolev)表示。“他是比特幣的代名詞,且是首批在Cash App上提供比特幣分拆購買服務(wù)的人之一?!?/p>
這種關(guān)注或許只是時間問題,而非是否會關(guān)注的問題。上周比特幣創(chuàng)下新高,吸引了眾多持有加密貨幣的公司的新一輪關(guān)注,這些公司目前在股市中享有相當(dāng)高的溢價。
Block的戰(zhàn)略布局愈發(fā)呈現(xiàn)出基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的特征,而非投機性敞口。該公司正通過Proto大力進軍硬件領(lǐng)域,并計劃在2025年下半年推出自有比特幣挖礦芯片及系統(tǒng),旨在向中國現(xiàn)有企業(yè)發(fā)起挑戰(zhàn),同時面向工業(yè)級和小型挖礦群體銷售產(chǎn)品。
今年早些時候,在一場行業(yè)會議上,多爾西表示:“我們坐擁規(guī)模龐大的客戶群體,涵蓋大型企業(yè)和小型利基市場客戶。對我們而言,這無疑是巨大的市場,也是公司未來發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵組成部分?!?/p>
然而,眾所周知,挖礦業(yè)務(wù)的盈利能力難以維持。隨著比特幣價格上漲,網(wǎng)絡(luò)難度和能源成本也同步攀升。這種動態(tài)變化往往在需求達(dá)到峰值時削弱回報,使得挖礦成為一個頗具挑戰(zhàn)性的行業(yè)。
Benchmark的帕爾默表示:“令人惋惜的是,志同道合的投資者數(shù)量過多,從盈利角度來看,這才是真正的問題所在?!?/p>
多爾西仍在建設(shè)比特幣基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,并推進實驗性項目,如開源人工智能代理框架Goose。但就目前而言,投資者信心取決于核心業(yè)務(wù)。倘若Cash App和Square能夠達(dá)成預(yù)期目標(biāo),市場或許終會認(rèn)可Block的比特幣戰(zhàn)略,將其視為戰(zhàn)略愿景,而非投機性副業(yè)。
“比特幣、持倉及收益目前被大多數(shù)投資者低估,”Evercore的弗里施指出?!爱?dāng)前投資者更關(guān)注核心業(yè)務(wù)部門而非比特幣相關(guān)舉措?!?(財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
杰克·多爾西旗下的Block Inc.于周三納入備受矚目的標(biāo)普500指數(shù),這一極具象征意義的里程碑,讓這家涉足移動銀行、比特幣挖礦等諸多領(lǐng)域的數(shù)字金融公司成為華爾街的焦點。
對于這家助力開創(chuàng)移動支付先河的公司而言,如今真正的考驗在于將宏偉愿景轉(zhuǎn)化為驅(qū)動盈利的執(zhí)行力:將Cash App的龐大用戶群體轉(zhuǎn)化為正式的銀行客戶,擴展Square的產(chǎn)品矩陣,并在競爭激烈的比特幣挖礦領(lǐng)域展開角逐。
此次納入指數(shù)將帶來被動基金的即時資金流入,并重新吸引投資者關(guān)注。消息公布后的周一,Block股價上漲7%,緩解了這家總部位于奧克蘭的公司今年上半年的股價頹勢——因市場對其盈利前景存憂,股價跌幅達(dá)22%。周三早盤交易時段,Block股價在79美元上下浮動。分析師提醒道,納入指數(shù)并不能讓公司避開業(yè)績壓力,若要實現(xiàn)與成長型科技公司相符的股票估值,就必須拿出實實在在的業(yè)績。
“從時機角度來看,Block股票納入標(biāo)普500指數(shù)對公司而言極其有利,”Benchmark公司高級分析師馬克·帕爾默(Mark Palmer)表示,他給予該股持有評級?!安贿^,這種初步提振能否持續(xù),將取決于公司能否在執(zhí)行層面達(dá)成目標(biāo)?!?/p>
賣方市場整體情緒仍偏樂觀,但對其核心業(yè)務(wù)能否持續(xù)擴張的擔(dān)憂依然存在。擁有5700萬活躍用戶的Cash App正從點對點支付應(yīng)用轉(zhuǎn)型為全方位銀行服務(wù)平臺。隨著銀行業(yè)務(wù)拓展,Cash App直接與貝寶(PayPal Holdings Inc.)旗下的Venmo以及數(shù)字優(yōu)先型競爭對手如Chime Financial展開競爭。當(dāng)前發(fā)展重點已從用戶增長轉(zhuǎn)向通過貸款等服務(wù)從現(xiàn)有客戶群體中實現(xiàn)盈利。
Block代表拒絕置評。
Square(Block的原有業(yè)務(wù),專注于為中小型企業(yè)提供支付服務(wù))正努力向高端市場進軍,面臨來自費哲金融服務(wù)公司(Fiserv Inc.)旗下的Clover以及專注于餐飲行業(yè)的競爭對手Toast Inc.的競爭。在加密貨幣領(lǐng)域,Block正助力Square業(yè)務(wù)所服務(wù)的企業(yè)接受比特幣支付,提供名為Bitkey的自托管錢包,并憑借其比特幣挖礦產(chǎn)品及服務(wù)套件Proto,進入長期由中國比特大陸(Bitmain)主導(dǎo)的硬件市場。
“我們真正關(guān)注的是其兩大核心業(yè)務(wù)板塊的基本面狀況以及扭虧為盈的故事,而非因納入指數(shù)帶來的短期交易熱潮?!盓vercore ISI高級董事總經(jīng)理亞當(dāng)·弗里施(Adam Frisch)表示。他給予該股跑贏大盤評級,目標(biāo)價為85美元,而周二收盤價為79美元。他補充道,Cash App平均每位活躍會員產(chǎn)生的收入約為110美元,而Chime約為245美元?!斑@一差距對Cash App而言意味著巨大機遇?!?
人們再度將目光聚焦于多爾西多年前就篤定堅持的比特幣愿景——這一愿景此前在很大程度上被市場忽視,而今,或許終于迎來了遲到的認(rèn)可。Block從2020年開始購入比特幣,目前公司金庫持有8584枚比特幣,按當(dāng)前價格計算,價值超10億美元。該公司每月將比特幣產(chǎn)品毛利潤的10%用于為資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表增持更多加密貨幣——這種金庫策略在加密貨幣初創(chuàng)公司中較為常見,但在上市公司中則較為罕見。
“杰克是比特幣的終極擁護者,但他并未因早早入局而獲得相應(yīng)的乘數(shù)效應(yīng),”瑞穗證券(Mizuho Securities)高級分析師丹·多列夫(Dan Dolev)表示?!八潜忍貛诺拇~,且是首批在Cash App上提供比特幣分拆購買服務(wù)的人之一?!?/p>
這種關(guān)注或許只是時間問題,而非是否會關(guān)注的問題。上周比特幣創(chuàng)下新高,吸引了眾多持有加密貨幣的公司的新一輪關(guān)注,這些公司目前在股市中享有相當(dāng)高的溢價。
Block的戰(zhàn)略布局愈發(fā)呈現(xiàn)出基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的特征,而非投機性敞口。該公司正通過Proto大力進軍硬件領(lǐng)域,并計劃在2025年下半年推出自有比特幣挖礦芯片及系統(tǒng),旨在向中國現(xiàn)有企業(yè)發(fā)起挑戰(zhàn),同時面向工業(yè)級和小型挖礦群體銷售產(chǎn)品。
今年早些時候,在一場行業(yè)會議上,多爾西表示:“我們坐擁規(guī)模龐大的客戶群體,涵蓋大型企業(yè)和小型利基市場客戶。對我們而言,這無疑是巨大的市場,也是公司未來發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵組成部分?!?/p>
然而,眾所周知,挖礦業(yè)務(wù)的盈利能力難以維持。隨著比特幣價格上漲,網(wǎng)絡(luò)難度和能源成本也同步攀升。這種動態(tài)變化往往在需求達(dá)到峰值時削弱回報,使得挖礦成為一個頗具挑戰(zhàn)性的行業(yè)。
Benchmark的帕爾默表示:“令人惋惜的是,志同道合的投資者數(shù)量過多,從盈利角度來看,這才是真正的問題所在?!?/p>
多爾西仍在建設(shè)比特幣基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,并推進實驗性項目,如開源人工智能代理框架Goose。但就目前而言,投資者信心取決于核心業(yè)務(wù)。倘若Cash App和Square能夠達(dá)成預(yù)期目標(biāo),市場或許終會認(rèn)可Block的比特幣戰(zhàn)略,將其視為戰(zhàn)略愿景,而非投機性副業(yè)。
“比特幣、持倉及收益目前被大多數(shù)投資者低估,”Evercore的弗里施指出?!爱?dāng)前投資者更關(guān)注核心業(yè)務(wù)部門而非比特幣相關(guān)舉措。” (財富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
Jack Dorsey’s Block Inc. joins the coveted S&P 500 on Wednesday, a symbolic milestone that puts the digital finance firm—pursuing everything from mobile banking to Bitcoin mining—under Wall Street’s spotlight.
For a company that helped pioneer mobile payments, the real test now is turning big ambitions into profit-driving execution: converting Cash App’s large user base into full-fledged banking customers, scaling Square’s product arsenal, and competing in the cutthroat world of Bitcoin mining.
The index inclusion delivers immediate inflows from passive funds and renewed investor attention. Block shares rose 7% the Monday following the announcement, softening the stock’s 22% decline in the first half of the year amid concern over the Oakland-based firm’s earnings trajectory. Block shares hovered around $79 during Wednesday morning trading. Analysts caution that index inclusion won’t shield the company from pressure to deliver results in order to realize a stock valuation that’s consistent with growth-minded tech companies.
“The addition of Block shares to the S&P 500 was very helpful to the company from a timing perspective,” said Mark Palmer, senior analyst at The Benchmark Company, who has a hold rating on the stock. “But whether that initial boost will be sustained is going to depend on whether the company follows through from an execution standpoint.”
Sell-side sentiment remains broadly positive, but concerns persist over whether its core businesses can continue scaling. Cash App, which has 57 million active users, is transitioning from a peer-to-peer payments app into a full-service banking platform. With its banking push, Cash App is competing directly with PayPal Holdings Inc.’s Venmo and digital-first challengers like Chime Financial Inc. The focus now is less on user growth than monetizing the existing customer base through services like lending.
A representative for Block declined to comment.
Square—Block’s original business focused on payments for small and medium-sized businesses—is working to move upmarket, facing competition from Fiserv Inc.’s Clover and restaurant-focused rival Toast Inc. On the crypto front, Block is helping Square businesses accept payments in Bitcoin, offering a self-custody wallet called Bitkey and entering a hardware market long dominated by China’s Bitmain with Proto, its suite of Bitcoin mining products and services.
“We’re really focused on the fundamentals and the turnaround story there with their two major segments, more than a quick trading pop here for the inclusion,” said Adam Frisch, senior managing director at Evercore ISI, who has an outperform rating with an $85 price target, versus $79 at the Tuesday close. He added that Cash App users generate about $110 average revenue per active member, compared to roughly $245 per user at Chime. “That delta represents a huge opportunity for Cash App.”
Attention is also returning to a Bitcoin vision Dorsey committed to years ago—one that markets largely ignored, but that may be in position to gain overdue validation. Block began accumulating Bitcoin in 2020 and now holds 8,584 coins in its corporate treasury, worth more than $1 billion in today’s prices. It redirects 10% of the gross profit from its Bitcoin products each month to buy more of the cryptocurrency for its balance sheet—a treasury policy more common to crypto startups than publicly listed companies.
“Jack is the ultimate maxi but they haven’t gotten the multiple for him being such an early bird,” said Dan Dolev, senior analyst at Mizuho Securities. “He’s synonymous with Bitcoin and he was one of the first ones to offer fractional Bitcoin purchasing on Cash App.”
That attention may be a matter of when, not if. Bitcoin broke records last week, drawing new attention from a flurry of crypto-holding firms that now command a sizable premium in the stock market.
Block’s posture increasingly resembles infrastructure investment rather than speculative exposure. The firm is pushing deeper into hardware with Proto, and it plans to launch its own Bitcoin mining chips and systems in the second half of 2025 as it aims to challenge Chinese incumbents and sell to both industrial and smaller-scale miners.
“We have a large pipeline of customers, both the very large and also the smaller, more niche ones,” Dorsey said earlier this year at an industry conference. “This is going to be a big market for us and a big part of our company going forward.”
Yet profitability in mining is notoriously difficult to sustain. As Bitcoin prices rise, network difficulty and energy costs also increase. That dynamic often undercuts returns just as demand peaks, making mining a challenging industry to serve.
“Unfortunately, there are a great many like-minded investors and that’s been the real trouble from a profitability standpoint,” said Benchmark’s Palmer.
Dorsey is still building out Bitcoin infrastructure—and pushing ahead on experimental projects like Goose, an open-source AI agent framework. But for now, investor conviction hinges on the core businesses. If Cash App and Square can deliver, markets may then finally reward Block’s Bitcoin strategy, viewing it as strategic vision rather than a speculative side bet.
“Bitcoin, the holdings and the revenue, are somewhat discounted by most investors,” Evercore’s Frisch said. “People are more focused on the core units than the Bitcoin initiatives at this point.”