
? 高盛剛剛聘用了能像人類一樣寫代碼的人工智能軟件工程師Devin,還省下了六位數(shù)年薪。公司計(jì)劃未來(lái)可能部署數(shù)千個(gè)Devin,通過(guò)人工智能工具將員工生產(chǎn)力提升四倍以上。高盛技術(shù)負(fù)責(zé)人認(rèn)為未來(lái)是“人機(jī)協(xié)同”的混合勞動(dòng)力時(shí)代,但福特首席執(zhí)行官吉姆·法利警告稱白領(lǐng)工作正迅速流失。
這位新員工不會(huì)跟同事里希·蘇納克喝咖啡閑聊,也不會(huì)參加公司下班后的歡樂(lè)時(shí)光。Devin只會(huì)晝夜不停地寫代碼。
華爾街投行高盛最近宣布,已“聘用”初創(chuàng)公司Cognition開(kāi)發(fā)的人工智能自主軟件工程師Devin。高盛首席信息官馬可·阿根蒂表示,Devin能完成端到端的編程任務(wù),員工生產(chǎn)力有望比使用以往人工智能工具提升三到四倍。
“我們將開(kāi)始用Devin加強(qiáng)團(tuán)隊(duì),就像招了一位新員工,代表開(kāi)發(fā)人員完成任務(wù),” 近期阿根蒂接受美國(guó)消費(fèi)者新聞與商業(yè)頻道(CNBC)采訪時(shí)表示。
阿根蒂補(bǔ)充說(shuō),高盛計(jì)劃先部署數(shù)百個(gè)Devin,未來(lái)可能擴(kuò)至數(shù)千個(gè),加入近1.2萬(wàn)名軟件工程師隊(duì)伍,由此開(kāi)啟“人機(jī)共存”的混合勞動(dòng)力時(shí)代。
“關(guān)鍵在于人類與人工智能并肩協(xié)作,” 阿根蒂說(shuō),“工程師要學(xué)會(huì)清晰描述問(wèn)題,轉(zhuǎn)化為指令,并監(jiān)督人工智能工具工作。”
《財(cái)富》已聯(lián)系高盛尋求置評(píng)。
人工智能取代白領(lǐng)及初級(jí)崗位的憂慮升溫
大力推廣Devin的同時(shí),高盛仍在全球招聘軟件工程師,紐約某些初級(jí)崗位起薪11.5萬(wàn)美元,最高可達(dá)18萬(wàn)美元。
不過(guò)業(yè)界領(lǐng)袖警告,類似初級(jí)崗位可能最先被人工智能取代。Anthropic首席執(zhí)行官達(dá)里奧·阿莫迪預(yù)測(cè),五年內(nèi)人工智能可能淘汰一半初級(jí)白領(lǐng)崗位。福特(Ford)首席執(zhí)行官吉姆·法利更悲觀,稱美國(guó)所有白領(lǐng)崗位都將被取代,不僅僅是初級(jí)崗位。
“實(shí)現(xiàn)美國(guó)夢(mèng)的道路不止一條,但整個(gè)體系都更側(cè)重四年制大學(xué)教育,”上個(gè)月在法利出席阿斯彭思想節(jié)(Aspen Ideas Festival)時(shí)表示,“2019年以來(lái),科技公司初級(jí)員工招聘人數(shù)已減少50%。我們真希望孩子們都去擠這條路嗎?人工智能真的會(huì)取代美國(guó)一半的白領(lǐng)員工?!?/p>
具體到銀行業(yè),彭博社(Bloomberg)估計(jì)未來(lái)三到五年華爾街可能減少20萬(wàn)個(gè)崗位。不過(guò)阿根蒂認(rèn)為,掌握人工智能技術(shù)的人才能贏得未來(lái),對(duì)面臨初級(jí)崗位減少的年輕人來(lái)說(shuō)尤為重要。
“人工智能變革幾年內(nèi)就會(huì)發(fā)生,而不是幾十年,” 阿根蒂在為《財(cái)富》撰寫的評(píng)論中寫道,“不能熟練使用人工智能工具的員工將會(huì)被逐漸淘汰,而學(xué)會(huì)利用人工智能提升工作的人將脫穎而出?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
? 高盛剛剛聘用了能像人類一樣寫代碼的人工智能軟件工程師Devin,還省下了六位數(shù)年薪。公司計(jì)劃未來(lái)可能部署數(shù)千個(gè)Devin,通過(guò)人工智能工具將員工生產(chǎn)力提升四倍以上。高盛技術(shù)負(fù)責(zé)人認(rèn)為未來(lái)是“人機(jī)協(xié)同”的混合勞動(dòng)力時(shí)代,但福特首席執(zhí)行官吉姆·法利警告稱白領(lǐng)工作正迅速流失。
這位新員工不會(huì)跟同事里?!ぬK納克喝咖啡閑聊,也不會(huì)參加公司下班后的歡樂(lè)時(shí)光。Devin只會(huì)晝夜不停地寫代碼。
華爾街投行高盛最近宣布,已“聘用”初創(chuàng)公司Cognition開(kāi)發(fā)的人工智能自主軟件工程師Devin。高盛首席信息官馬可·阿根蒂表示,Devin能完成端到端的編程任務(wù),員工生產(chǎn)力有望比使用以往人工智能工具提升三到四倍。
“我們將開(kāi)始用Devin加強(qiáng)團(tuán)隊(duì),就像招了一位新員工,代表開(kāi)發(fā)人員完成任務(wù),” 近期阿根蒂接受美國(guó)消費(fèi)者新聞與商業(yè)頻道(CNBC)采訪時(shí)表示。
阿根蒂補(bǔ)充說(shuō),高盛計(jì)劃先部署數(shù)百個(gè)Devin,未來(lái)可能擴(kuò)至數(shù)千個(gè),加入近1.2萬(wàn)名軟件工程師隊(duì)伍,由此開(kāi)啟“人機(jī)共存”的混合勞動(dòng)力時(shí)代。
“關(guān)鍵在于人類與人工智能并肩協(xié)作,” 阿根蒂說(shuō),“工程師要學(xué)會(huì)清晰描述問(wèn)題,轉(zhuǎn)化為指令,并監(jiān)督人工智能工具工作?!?/p>
《財(cái)富》已聯(lián)系高盛尋求置評(píng)。
人工智能取代白領(lǐng)及初級(jí)崗位的憂慮升溫
大力推廣Devin的同時(shí),高盛仍在全球招聘軟件工程師,紐約某些初級(jí)崗位起薪11.5萬(wàn)美元,最高可達(dá)18萬(wàn)美元。
不過(guò)業(yè)界領(lǐng)袖警告,類似初級(jí)崗位可能最先被人工智能取代。Anthropic首席執(zhí)行官達(dá)里奧·阿莫迪預(yù)測(cè),五年內(nèi)人工智能可能淘汰一半初級(jí)白領(lǐng)崗位。福特(Ford)首席執(zhí)行官吉姆·法利更悲觀,稱美國(guó)所有白領(lǐng)崗位都將被取代,不僅僅是初級(jí)崗位。
“實(shí)現(xiàn)美國(guó)夢(mèng)的道路不止一條,但整個(gè)體系都更側(cè)重四年制大學(xué)教育,”上個(gè)月在法利出席阿斯彭思想節(jié)(Aspen Ideas Festival)時(shí)表示,“2019年以來(lái),科技公司初級(jí)員工招聘人數(shù)已減少50%。我們真希望孩子們都去擠這條路嗎?人工智能真的會(huì)取代美國(guó)一半的白領(lǐng)員工?!?/p>
具體到銀行業(yè),彭博社(Bloomberg)估計(jì)未來(lái)三到五年華爾街可能減少20萬(wàn)個(gè)崗位。不過(guò)阿根蒂認(rèn)為,掌握人工智能技術(shù)的人才能贏得未來(lái),對(duì)面臨初級(jí)崗位減少的年輕人來(lái)說(shuō)尤為重要。
“人工智能變革幾年內(nèi)就會(huì)發(fā)生,而不是幾十年,” 阿根蒂在為《財(cái)富》撰寫的評(píng)論中寫道,“不能熟練使用人工智能工具的員工將會(huì)被逐漸淘汰,而學(xué)會(huì)利用人工智能提升工作的人將脫穎而出。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
? Goldman Sachs just hired Devin, an AI-powered software engineer that’s capable of coding just as well as humans—minus six-figure salaries. The company also has plans to potentially unleash it by the thousands and expand workers’ productivity with AI tools by over four times. While the firm’s tech leader sees a future that’s a “hybrid workforce” between humans and AI, leaders like Ford CEO Jim Farley warn of a decrease in white-collar work.
The newest hire at Goldman Sachs won’t be able to have a coffee chat with coworker Rishi Sunak, or attend the firm’s after-work happy hour. Rather, it will be working all day on its coding assignments.
The Wall Street investment bank recently unveiled it had hired Devin: a new AI-powered autonomous software engineer, created by AI startup Cognition. With the tool being capable of conducting end-to-end coding tasks, Goldman hopes it will improve worker productivity by up to three or four times the rate of previous AI tools, according to Goldman’s chief information officer Marco Argenti.
“We’re going to start augmenting our workforce with Devin, which is going to be like our new employee who’s going to start doing stuff on the behalf of our developers,” Argenti recently told CNBC.
Goldman Sachs plans to launch Devin by the hundreds—maybe eventually even by the thousands, Argenti added—joining the nearly 12,000 existing software engineers at the company. He said he hopes this move will help usher in a “hybrid workforce” era in which humans and AI coexist.
“It’s really about people and AIs working side by side,” Argenti said. “Engineers are going to be expected to have the ability to really describe problems in a coherent way and turn it into prompts…and then be able to supervise the work of those agents.”
Fortune reached out to Goldman Sachs for comment.
Growing concerns over AI killing white-collar roles and entry-level gigs
Despite the push to launch Devin, Goldman is continuing to hire software engineers, with dozens of open roles around the world. The salary of some New York–based associate roles start out at around $115,000 annually—and can even extend to $180,000.
But business leaders have warned that these early career roles are the ones that AI might make obsolete the soonest. For example, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei predicted that AI could eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years. Ford CEO Jim Farley went even further, and warned that all white-collar work could disappear in the U.S.—beyond those early in their careers.
“There’s more than one way to the American Dream, but our whole education system is focused on four-year [college] education,” Farley said at the Aspen Ideas Festival last month. “Hiring an entry worker at a tech company has fallen 50% since 2019. Is that really where we want all of our kids to go? Artificial intelligence is gonna replace literally half of all white-collar workers in the U.S.”
For the banking industry in particular, this AI-driven workforce transformation could lead to 200,000 fewer people on Wall Street within the next three to five years, according to Bloomberg. However, Argenti said that those who choose to embrace AI will be best equipped for a successful future, and it’s especially important for young talent facing dwindling entry-level roles.
“The AI shift is happening in years, not decades,” Argenti wrote in a commentary piece for Fortune. “Workers who lack proficiency in leveraging AI tools will fall behind, and those who have learned to harness it to elevate their work will advance,” he added.