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西班牙應(yīng)當(dāng)讓小銀行倒閉

西班牙應(yīng)當(dāng)讓小銀行倒閉

Cyrus Sanati 2012-06-04
西班牙政府將一堆行將就木的小銀行拼湊成了一個(gè)龐然大物,卻發(fā)現(xiàn)無(wú)法承受讓其倒下的后果。更多的銀行整合并不能解決問(wèn)題。

????棘手的是這些資產(chǎn)如何估值。估得太高,就吸引不到投資者。估得太低,西班牙政府就需要拿出更多的現(xiàn)金來(lái)彌補(bǔ)損失。如果市場(chǎng)認(rèn)可西班牙的解決方案,那么政府借貸成本就能下降,銀行可以重啟放貸。希望的是通過(guò)緊縮政策,西班牙政府將能實(shí)現(xiàn)預(yù)算盈余,可用于彌補(bǔ)這些貸款損失。

????但為了減輕西班牙政府的負(fù)擔(dān),Caja需要保持小規(guī)模,即便倒閉,也不會(huì)引起太大的亂子。西班牙將承擔(dān)存款人的損失,但不必承擔(dān)貸款損失,以節(jié)約寶貴的資金。西班牙政府越早搞明白這一點(diǎn),就能越早重振其銀行業(yè)。

????譯者:早稻米

????The tricky part would be the valuation of the assets. If it's too high, it won't attract investors. But if it's too low, then the Spanish government will need to come up with more cash to cover the losses. If the market buys Spain's solution then government borrowing costs would fall and the banks would be free to lend again. The hope is through austerity, the Spanish government will be able to generate a surplus that will cover the loan losses.

????But to lower the Spanish government's burden, the cajas need to stay small so that they can fail without creating much of a ruckus. While Spain would cover depositor's losses, they wouldn't have to cover the loan losses, saving precious capital. The sooner the Spanish government realizes this, the sooner it can get its banking sector back on its feet.

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