許多人愿意花一大筆錢，請(qǐng)咨詢專家預(yù)測未來的科技趨勢。你可以這樣做，也可以用一本新書的價(jià)格，從麥肯錫全球研究所的內(nèi)部智庫得到同樣的預(yù)測。這本書名為《大顛覆：全球四大力量正在打破所有的趨勢》，作者為麥肯錫董事理查德·多布斯、詹姆斯·馬尼卡和華強(qiáng)森。這本書將幫助你深入了解未來幾十年對(duì)商業(yè)世界影響最大的科技發(fā)展趨勢。我們?cè)谙挛牧谐隽怂麄兘o出的“12個(gè)最具顛覆性的科技趨勢”。作者們相信，這些科技最有潛力改變當(dāng)今的商業(yè)圖景。

People pay plenty of money for consulting giants to help them figure out which technology trends are fads and which will stick. You could go that route, or get the same thing from the McKinsey Global Institute’s in-house think-tank for the cost of a new book. No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All the Trends, was written by McKinsey directors Richard Dobbs, James Manyika, and Jonathan Woetzel, and offers insight into which developments will have the greatest impact on the business world in coming decades. Below, we’re recapping their list of the “Disruptive Dozen”—the technologies the group believes have the greatest potential to remake today’s business landscape.

儲(chǔ)能技術(shù)

本書的作者們預(yù)測，未來十年，鋰離子電池組的成本將降低三分之一，這一改變不僅對(duì)電動(dòng)車領(lǐng)域至關(guān)重要，也與可再生能源存儲(chǔ)技術(shù)的發(fā)展息息相關(guān)。同時(shí)，隨著電池價(jià)格日益低廉和電池效率的提高，運(yùn)輸、發(fā)電和石油天然氣行業(yè)也將受到重大影響。

Energy storage

The book's authors predict that the price of lithium-ion battery packs could fall by a third in the next 10 years, which will have a big impact on not only electric cars, but renewable energy storage. There will be major repercussions for the transportation, power generation, and the oil and gas industries as batteries grow cheaper and more efficient.